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Category Archives: Super Bowl

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Why Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs Will Win Super Bowl LIV

Super Bowl LIV is just under a week away, and this matchup should be one of the best in recent memory. Patrick Mahomes and the high-flying Kansas City Chiefs face off against Nick Bosa and the San Francisco 49ers elite defense. This game is the ultimate example of what happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object. Nobody’s been able to stop Kansas City’s offense at full strength, but the Chiefs have never faced a defense as good as this one.

The Super Bowl odds are basically even. Some of the best betting sites have Kansas City a -120 to -125 favorite and San Francisco a narrow +100 to +105 underdog. Some years, there’s considerable movement as kickoff approaches (see: Seahawks vs Patriots in 2014), but that’s not the case this year, at least so far. The line has barely budged since the matchup was set. Oddsmakers believe the game is basically a toss-up and, evidently, so do the sharps putting their money down early.
Why Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs Will Beat the San Francisco 49ers
Unstoppable Offense
They say defense wins championships, and that was true at one point. However, today’s pass-happy rules naturally favor high-powered passing offenses, and nobody’s seen anything quite like Kansas City’s offense. The Chiefs have everything you need to create an unstoppable offense. Andy Reid is perhaps the best playcaller in the league, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are matchup nightmares, and Patrick Mahomes is playing at a ridiculous level.

The reigning MVP battled injuries throughout the regular season but is finally healthy. He’s back to his 2018 form, throwing for a combined 615 yards, eight touchdowns, and no interceptions during his first two postseason games. He’s erased 24- and 10-point deficits in consecutive weeks and is in the midst of the best postseason run since at least 2006, according to Pro Football Focus. The San Francisco 49ers have talent all across their defense, but there really is no answer for Mahomes when he’s at the peak of his game.

Additionally, the Chiefs match up surprisingly well with San Francisco’s defense. Mitchell Schwartz is one of the better right tackles in the league and should help mitigate the San Francisco pass rush. Richard Sherman is playing some of the best football of his storied career, but he struggles to cover speed. The Chiefs have the fastest group of playmakers in the league as Hill, Demarcus Robinson, and Sammy Watkins all have the ability to take the top off the defense, and Mahomes has the ability to reach any part of the field.
Interrupting the 49ers Game Plan
The San Francisco 49ers made it this far by playing good defense and leaning on their running game. Kyle Shanahan is a fantastic playcaller and gives his running back the best chance to succeed every time they touch the ball. This style of play can be effective when you have the lead, but it’s not good for playing catch-up. Rushing just isn’t as efficient as passing, and you can’t possibly win a shootout by running the ball.

The best way for the Chiefs to stop Raheem Mostert and company is to gain an early lead. San Francisco’s defense may have what it takes to slow down Kirk Cousins and Aaron Rodgers, but Mahomes is far more dangerous than those two. Once the Chiefs get a lead, the 49ers are going to need Jimmy Garoppolo to match Patrick Mahomes in a shootout. Obviously, there is no reason to believe Garoppolo to be up for that monumental task.

This game should be a close and exciting contest between the two best teams in football. That said, the Chiefs should find themselves hoisting the Lombardi Trophy come Sunday night. Kansas City’s passing attack is just too good to stop, and Garoppolo doesn’t have what it takes to match Mahomes in a shootout.

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Super Bowl LIV Prediction and Odds

With Championship Sunday in the rearview mirror, Super Bowl LIV is set to take place in Miami on Sunday February 2, 2020 when the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers play the final game of the season. But which team will emerge victorious? Will the Chiefs hoist the Lombardi Trophy and finally get Andy Reid a Super Bowl ring? Or will the 49ers win it all and maybe, just maybe, lessen the sting of Super Bow LI for Kyle Shanahan, who was part of the 28-3 debacle while he was with the Atlanta Falcons? Below is a Super Bowl LIV prediction and odds.
Super Bowl LIV Prediction and Odds
Odds
The Las Vegas Line is Kansas City -1.5 with the over/under set at 52.5. That means the Chiefs are favored by only half a field goal. The money line doesn’t tell a different story, either, with Kansas City at -121 and San Francisco at +102. Both Vegas and the money line show the Chiefs being favored, but not by much in either instance.

Teams favored to win the Super Bowl are 35-18 straight up and 26-25-2 against the spread. While that should make the Chiefs and their fans feel a little warmer this winter, those statistics are far from a guarantee of a Kansas City Super Bowl victory.
Prediction
Kansas City’s last Super Bowl appearance was Super Bowl IV, while San Francisco last made an appearance in the big game in Super Bowl XLVII.

The Chiefs are on a seven-game win streak, while the 49ers have won four straight contests. These two teams have never met in the Super Bowl. The last time they faced off against each other at all was in Week 3 of the 2018 season, when Jimmy Garoppolo tore his ACL.

The Chiefs have the reigning MVP of the league, Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and speedster Tyreek Hill on offense and a much improved defense from last season. The 49ers have Nick Bosa and a stifling defense, along with an impressive committee of running backs, including Tevin Coleman (who hopes to return from a dislocated shoulder in time for the Super Bowl), Raheem Mostert (who couldn’t be stopped in the NFC Championship game) and Matt Breida.

The Chiefs fell behind in both of their playoff games this season (to the Houston Texans and Tennessee Titans), but behind the magic of Mahomes they rallied and won both games. Will Mahomes and the Chiefs offense be able to go after the field opposite Richard Sherman and find success as other teams have at times this season? Mahomes is a mobile quarterback and mobile signal callers have, at times this season, caused issues for the impressive 49ers defense. If Kansas City wins it will be because of their quarterback. Mahomes is a special difference maker.

If the 49ers can dominate the line of scrimmage they will hoist the Lombardi Trophy. If their offensive line is impressive that will allow their running backs to gain chunks of yards and keep Mahomes on the sideline (which is really the only way to slow him down). But Mahomes will be on the field at some point and when he is San Francisco’s pass rushers, including Bosa, DeForest Buckner and Dee Ford, need to wreak havoc as they have all season and get after and contain Mahomes.
Last Word
The 49ers are probably the more complete team of the two and with their ground game and defense they are probably built to hold onto a lead more than the Texans or Titans. San Francisco will win a close game by keeping Mahomes on the sideline as much as possible.

But, at the end of the day, this game will probably be a very close contest and betting on it is probably a fool’s errand. Just buy some squares and hope to get lucky, or apostar carreras de Ceballos instead.

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The 10 Biggest Changes in 100 Years of the NFL

When the NFL first started in 1920, it wasn’t the high-flying spectacle it is now. Here are the moments that shaped America’s game in 100 years of the NFL.
The 10 Biggest Changes in 100 Years of the NFL
Photo Credit: Betway NFL
The Forward Pass
The passing game isn’t nearly what it used to be during the early years of the NFL. The NFL in its early stages resembled a game closer to that of the game of Rugby and forward passes were considered illegal.

When forward passes were allowed—although still rare—quarterbacks could only throw the ball forward from within five yards of the line of scrimmage. It wasn’t until 1933 that the NFL began to separate itself from college football where they began to allow forward passes from anywhere behind the line of scrimmage. This is what would come to shape the game of football that we know today.

At this same time, it was rare to see a quarterback throw for big numbers. In the 1932 season, no quarterback threw for more than 640 yards or nine touchdowns. In 2015, we saw Drew Brees throw for 505 yards and seven touchdowns in one game—an NFL record for passing touchdowns in a single game.
The Draft
The volatility of one team going from the bottom dwellers to winning a super bowl title in a couple of seasons is what makes the NFL Draft one of the most exciting sports events of the year.

In 1936, the NFL, in a bid to restore a competitive and take leverage away from the players, held its inaugural draft. Franchises would begin taking turns selecting college players, with the worst team from each previous season picking first. Before then, the players held all the cards as teams would engage in chaotic bidding wars to sign amateur players right out of college.

Within the next 30 years, every other major sports league would follow suit and hold their own inaugural draft.
Racial Integration
During the league’s formative years, its players and coaches were almost exclusively white, despite having a handful of black players in its very early seasons. Between 1934 and 1946, there were no black players at all.

Ultimately, in 1946, UCLA Bruins running back, Kenny Washington—who is regarded as one of the best collegiate players ever— broke the race barrier and became the first African-American to sign an NFL contract.

From then on, the NFL slowly integrated black players into the league, with most coming from the AFL/NFL merger in 1970.

As of 2014, the NFL’s player pool was 68% African-American. But the issues of race in sports is still ongoing despite the NFL’s ground-breaking Rooney Rule (2003), which requires teams to interview at least one minority candidate for every head coaching vacancy. As of the beginning of the 2019 NFL season, only three of the 32 NFL head coaches are African-American.
The Schedule
The NFL’s early years were chaotic in terms of teams’ schedules. At one point, there was no set schedule and franchises wound up playing any teams they could arrange a match with, which even included teams from outside of the league. Because of the unorganized structure of the games, the amount of match-ups teams got varied widely. Some teams were able to play 10 or more games, while the Muncie Flyers played just one, to which they lost and put them in last place.

Oddly enough, there was no championship game in the early years. Title winners were voted on by team owners at an end-of-season meeting. In 1933, the NFL revised its strange formula and had its inaugural title game between the Chicago Bears and New York Giants. In 1936, the NFL would begin having all nine teams play 12 games each, and since 1978, the regular season has been comprised of 16 games for each team.
The Helmets
It’s frightening to imagine the kind of helmet-to-helmet contact we see today happening with the soft leather caps players wore in the NFL’s early years. In the 1940s and 1950s, the NFL finally moved on to using plastic helmets with face masks to polymer helmets that are universal in today’s game.

The decision to move away from the leather caps was intended to improve player safety. But brain injuries like CTE are still a key concern today and the league continues to push rule changes around the league and make that kind of harsh contact illegal in the game.

In 2013, the league was sued by nearly 4,500 former players for concussion-related injuries.
The AFL Merger
In 1959, the founding of the American Football League (AFL) quickly threatened the dominance of the NFL by luring away top college recruits with lucrative contracts. The NFL recognized that the competition could threaten their talent pool and profitability and by 1966, a deal was agreed to merge the two leagues. The NFL kept its name and the AFL and NFL franchises were separated into two conferences: the AFC and the NFC. At the end of each season, the conference champions would play each other, spawning one of the biggest sporting events in the world…
The Super Bowl
The Super Bowl regularly attracts over 100 million viewers worldwide each year, more than any annual sporting event except the Champions League final. That’s impressive—thanks to the NFL’s marketing strategy—considering American Football is difficult for most outside of the U.S. to understand.

Super Sunday has essentially become a national holiday for American Football fans, and traditions like Super Bowl parties and prop bets have spread to countries even outside of the US.
The Halftime Show
Some of the biggest musical acts in the world like Prince, Michael Jackson, and Beyoncé have produced iconic performances at the Super Bowl halftime show. It’s the biggest in-game entertainment that no other sports league sees and is a big component to just how successful the super bowl is.

Until the 1990s, the half-time show would only feature a marching band with a theme like A Salute to the Big Band Era or It’s a Small World. It wasn’t until Michael Jackson’s iconic 1993 91 million viewer performance that changed everything. The half-time show from then on would be a coveted gig for the world’s biggest artists.

Since then, the half-time show has essentially been as memorable as the game itself. Some unforgettable moments from over the years include Janet Jackson’s Nipplegate, Katy Perry’s ‘Left Shark’, and Lady Gaga’s leap from the stadium roof.
The Salary Cap
Aside from the draft, the salary cap is the NFL’s greatest leveler. While sports like baseball and soccer (sorry, football fans) tend to reward the owners with the deepest pockets, when the NFL introduced the salary cap in 1994, a teams’ success no longer relied on how much money came out of their pockets but on good coaching and talent evaluation.

Take the New England Patriots for example. They have dominated the league since 2000 and their success can be largely attributed to three-time league MVP, Tom Brady—the (almost) undisputed GOAT quarterback and former sixth-round draft pick—and three-time Coach of the Year, Bill Belichick, rather than the checkbook of owner Robert Kraft.
International Expansion
While the NBA and MLB have both played games in London in the last year, it was the NFL that really pioneered the international expansion. The NFL played a handful of exhibition games at Wembley in the 1980s and instantly won over the fans. Now, the NFL attempts to hold a few regular-season games in London every year, thanks to a deal made by Jacksonville Jaguars owner, Shahid Kahn, in 2013. International expansion has even reached Mexico City and it could end up being only a few years from now that we see a league expansion move internationally.

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